Argentina3–2Egypt
Argentina
EgyptOur call
- Argentina
- 45%
- Draw
- 45%
- Egypt
- 10%
Locked before kickoff — it can never be edited.
Published · locked · scored
Probabilities from a third-party model; context, not a guarantee.
What's driving this call
The model favours Argentina (45%) over Egypt (10%), with a 45% chance of a draw. Recent form leans toward Argentina on the model's form comparison (67% vs 33%).
How the call landed
Correct call
Our call: Argentina (45%). It finished 3–2 — a home win for Argentina.
Our prediction
2–1
Actual result
3–2
0.52
Brier score
0 best, 2 worst — lower is better.
0.80
Log loss
Punishes confident misses — lower is better.
Recent form
Argentina
- W
- W
- W
- D
Egypt
- D
- W
- D
- D
Form is each team’s most recent finished matches in our record, oldest to newest.
The pre-match read
Too close to call — the model gives Argentina only a slight edge at 45%, 2–1 its predicted score.
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Deeper read
xG, shot quality and the full model breakdown for this fixture are part of Glass Pitch Premium — the full ledger and every match’s probabilities stay free forever either way. See the deeper read
More matchday calls
Other fixtures worth a look from here — every group is capped and self-excluded, never a repeat of this match.
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Every call is on the record
Wins and losses alike, locked at kickoff and scored — see the full track record.
Analysis and probabilities only — not betting advice. Outcomes are uncertain; we do not guarantee results and we do not claim to beat the market.